2026 Season — ELO ratings with playoff probabilities
python manage.py simulate --season 2026
| # | Team | ELO | Δ | Div% | Playoff% | Conf% | SB% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
SEA
Seattle Seahawks
NFC West
|
1675.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 |
LA
Los Angeles Rams
NFC West
|
1611.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 |
DEN
Denver Broncos
AFC West
|
1609.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 |
HOU
Houston Texans
AFC South
|
1608.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 |
BUF
Buffalo Bills
AFC East
|
1607.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 |
NE
New England Patriots
AFC East
|
1599.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 7 |
JAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
AFC South
|
1571.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 8 |
SF
San Francisco 49ers
NFC West
|
1561.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 |
PHI
Philadelphia Eagles
NFC East
|
1559.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 |
DET
Detroit Lions
NFC North
|
1558.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 |
MIN
Minnesota Vikings
NFC North
|
1553.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 12 |
BAL
Baltimore Ravens
AFC North
|
1546.7 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 13 |
CHI
Chicago Bears
NFC North
|
1532.0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 14 |
GB
Green Bay Packers
NFC North
|
1530.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 15 |
LAC
Los Angeles Chargers
AFC West
|
1529.9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 16 |
PIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
AFC North
|
1512.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 17 |
KC
Kansas City Chiefs
AFC West
|
1490.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 18 |
CIN
Cincinnati Bengals
AFC North
|
1482.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 19 |
TB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NFC South
|
1482.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 20 |
ATL
Atlanta Falcons
NFC South
|
1475.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 21 |
IND
Indianapolis Colts
AFC South
|
1470.6 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 22 |
WAS
Washington Commanders
NFC East
|
1463.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 23 |
MIA
Miami Dolphins
AFC East
|
1461.9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 24 |
DAL
Dallas Cowboys
NFC East
|
1460.5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 25 |
NO
New Orleans Saints
NFC South
|
1441.3 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 26 |
CAR
Carolina Panthers
NFC South
|
1433.9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 27 |
NYG
New York Giants
NFC East
|
1428.4 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 28 |
CLE
Cleveland Browns
AFC North
|
1427.2 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 29 |
ARI
Arizona Cardinals
NFC West
|
1395.8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 30 |
NYJ
New York Jets
AFC East
|
1365.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 31 |
TEN
Tennessee Titans
AFC South
|
1361.1 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 32 |
LV
Las Vegas Raiders
AFC West
|
1352.9 | — | — | — | — | — |
ELO ratings use K=20, HFA=65, offseason regression 1/3 toward mean.